"Daash" regulation witnessed in the past two years an expansion which ripped off countries' maps، from Iraq to Syria and up to the Lebanese Arsal heights drawing to its groups a fast and secure transmission line without any "speed bumps" or barriers that interface the connection between its areas of influence and dominance.

 

However, the situation of the two years expansion dissipated in the past two months, the estimates at various official security services in the three oriantal countries (Iraq, Syria, Lebanon), as well as "The resistance" the main partner in fighting "Daash" intersect that the flexible (expandable) border lines, which "Daash" drawn to itself began to fade, and the conduct of his line is no longer passable after severing it limbs from the Syrian "Palmyra" to the Lebanese heights of Arsal, and what the Lebanese army took control of the main strategic hills which overlook the heights , and that what turned " Daash " splatter of dominance to what it's like quicksand, which unable the terrorist organization's effective movement.

The organization most actively traded on the tongues of the security services officials, the incumbent brains and minds that related to combating terrorism began to lose elements of its superiority one by one, after losing the element of "surprise" and ease of movement and speed thanks to the shadows of Russian "Sukhoi" aircraft and its high-tech monitoring and steering precision lightning strikes, it lost the element of "intimidation" and systematic publicity that its opponents helped in promoting it in terms of do not know, so its leaders appered through the screens by audio and video disguised as women in an attempt to escape from the Iraqi "Fallujah", and the operation completed in the dismantling of the terrorist cells dormant in Lebanon and the intelligence and security agencies Directorate revealed many of them, and publish their pictures as submissive losers which contributed to break the horror barrier about the organization that some almost believe it is invincible.

 

The observers recorded Russian-American intersection (even it is relatively limited thanks to the fait accompli imposed by the management and the will of Putin in the fight against terrorism) to rein the organization extended who has passed by its terrorism the Middle East Ripper Maps , right down to Sinai, Egypt, Libya, and the heart of the European continent with operations that in some of them dozens of planners and implementers and their logistic assistants were participated, as well as suicide bombers, as happened in the "Brussels" terrorist operation.

The shift in the US way of dealing with the most dangerous terrorist organization according to the global regulations of terrorism, demonstrated in the US agencies which is involved in draining the financing of "Daash" by stimulation their machines , the thing that led to cut a lot of the arteries of the financial funding, either through the sale of oil, monuments, financial Owalthoilat, what led to the close the gates to the reception of new volunteers and the inability to pay the fighters' salaries in its ranks, in parallel with the closure of some windows of support and financing .And that is what contributed to the success of the "Axis of resistance", along with the Russian Federation to stop the nature of offensive battles for Daash and moving to the defensive lines, but in some cases associated with the predominantly mistakes "over tactical" or rampant cases of corruption in some combat units on the ground and opening doors to "Daash", as happened more than once in the "Sha'er" field in Homs, Syria, for example.

 

Because the shift to defensive lines and "Daash" loss for more than two thirds of the space that had been occupied and dominated them in the last two years, it has no longer a choice but terrorist operations outside the walls of the "the alleged State" as a breathing space perhaps that would prolong its existence, waiting for the return of international engagement and benefit from the support of some regional authorities have in framework of the sectarian conflict, which constitutes its real breathing "oxygen".

And it seems that the organization of extensibility entered the bottleneck, and the ones interested in the fight against terrorism register that the most dangerous organization today will try to do the following:

1- Prolong the battles waged in the various arenas, especially in Iraqi "Fallujah"

because its full retreat would give his enemies in the geographical region the chance of cloning "Fallujah" experiment and encourage them to continue cooperation in the same pattern and shape، by air and land.

2. expand its attack in the west of "Al Anbar"، in an attempt to distract the Iraqi army and the "Popular Crowd" and their friends from the battle of "Fallujah".

3. The pressure to control Syrian "Mare`" and "Azaz" even if it had to coordinate with some factions of "El-Nasra" and overcome the sensitivity of the "enemy brothers" because of their importance to the strategic field، and as one of the main arteries of the funding that suffer from a relative obstruction.

4. attempt to attack and occupy areas in "Deir al-Zour" which is outside its controlling areas، and pre-empt the Syrian Army to it.

5. continue its operations east and north-east of Homs، and try to get closer to "Palmyra" again from the northwest.

6. re-opening a new battles the eastern Qalmoun، seeking the introduction of a clash points died in this mountainous region.

However, a "reluctant" a source connected to fighting "Daash" operations rooms confirms that the six points which mentiond has well-planed tactics, and he relieved to wait for a hot summer on the ground and security which "the Russians" will try in to take advantage of the current US administration before its departure, to strengthen the Syrian army's and his friends efforts in reducing the space control of "Dash" more and more, as a prelude to knockout blow that need an international coalition curb the runaway of supporters of the terrorist organization, whether direct support or indirect in result of the sectarian fire that benefit "Daash" of its smoke to infiltrate and tear the states' maps.